Ford F-Series Sales Domination Isn't Assured In 2024 According To New Study

Tesla and Toyota continue to represent serious rivals when fleet sales aren't in the mix and Chevrolet isn't far behind either

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The Tesla Model Y and Toyota RAV4 trailed the Ford F-Series total registrations by just 0.1 percent in 2023, excluding fleet sales. This trend represents another sign that buyers are continuing the shift toward SUVs and crossovers. That along with several other insights come from a deeper look at S&P Global's analysis of the U.S. auto market of 2023.

Read: Used EV Prices Plummet 32% As Tesla Price Cuts Impact Industry

The firm gathers registration data from all 50 states, compiles it, and then reports its findings. Registration data is key since some brands like Tesla don't report their sales figures. The data contained in the study references light vehicles only, which includes the Ford F-250 and F-350 along with similarly large heavy-duty trucks from GM and Ram. S&P Global confirmed to Carscoops that larger trucks fall into its "medium/heavy" category.

That said, the Ford F-Series (150,250,350) only beat out the Tesla Model 3 and Toyota RAV4 in terms of total registrations (fleet sales excluded) by 0.1 percent. The truck lineup saw 380,685 registrations while the Model Y saw 375,140 and the RAV4 had 368,521. The Chevrolet Silverado (1500, 2500, 3500) came in fourth with 348,573 and the Honda CR-V rounded out the top five with 347,043 registrations in 2023.

TOP 10 Models Registered in the US in 2023 (Total)
Model Units % of Total
FORD F SERIES [#1] 676,989 4.5%
CHEVROLET SILVERADO [#2] 540,294 3.6%
TOYOTA RAV4  [#4] 430,573 2.8%
RAM [#3] 403,033 2.7%
TESLA MODEL Y [#9] 384,593 2.5%
HONDA CR-V [#7] 356,687 2.3%
GMC SIERRA [#6] 294,088 1.9%
TOYOTA CAMRY [#5] 288,831 1.9%
NISSAN ROGUE [#22] 258,252 1.7%
JEEP GRAND CHEROKEE [#12] 238,900 1.6%
*Number in brackets is rank position of the model in 2022
TOP 10 Models Registered in the US in 2023 (Retail – Excludes Fleet)
Model Units % of Total
FORD F SERIES [#3] 380,685 3.2%
TESLA MODEL Y [#7] 375,140 3.1%
TOYOTA RAV4 [#1] 368,521 3.1%
CHEVROLET SILVERADO [#2] 348,573 2.9%
HONDA CR-V [#6] 347,043 2.9%
RAM [#4] 244,204 2.0%
TOYOTA CAMRY [#5] 224,397 1.9%
GMC SIERRA [#11] 221,707 1.9%
TESLA MODEL 3 [#15] 199,183 1.7%
TOYOTA TACOMA [#8] 196,938 1.7%
*Number in brackets is rank position of the model in 2022

Notably, the RAV4 and F-Series actually swapped spots when compared to 2022, but the evidence suggests that some truck buyers are moving toward SUVs. For 2022, the top five fleet-excluded spots had all three mainstream trucks included.

For 2023, Ford might barely hold the top spot but Chevrolet dropped from second to fourth and Ram fell from fourth to sixth. Meanwhile, the Model Y jumped up from seventh last year and the CR-V moved up from sixth place.

Fleet And EV Markets Are Consistent

There's no question that when fleet sales get added to the mix, trucks are still a dominating force. Ford's F-Series saw 676,989 registrations in total during 2023 which represents 4.5 percent of the entire market. The Chevrolet Silverado came in second with 540,294 registrations representing 3.6 percent of the market. The RAV4 snagged third with 430,573 registrations. Ram picked up fourth place and Tesla's Model Y rounded out the top five.

For this study, the Model Y stands out as a luxury vehicle in a field of non-luxury options. That's rare but shouldn't come as too big of a surprise considering just how popular the Model Y is. It represented 33.5 percent of the total electric vehicle registrations in the U.S. during 2023. Remove fleet sales and that figure rockets up to 37.1 percent of the market.

Overall, the market appears to be moving toward SUVs and electrified vehicles slowly but surely. Half of overall sales are SUVs and the CR-V, Model Y, and RAV4 have a huge lead on the rest of the segment.

New US Retail Registrations by Fuel Type in 2023 (Retail – Excludes Fleet)
Fuel 2023 Volume % of Total
GASOLINE 9,333,627 78.3%
HYBRID 1,243,119 10.4%
DIESEL 337,131 2.8%
ELECTRIC 1,012,251 8.5%
ALL FUEL TYPES 11,926,128  100%

When it comes to fuel choices, unsurprisingly, gasoline vehicles dominated the new car (retail) market in the US, making up 78.3% of sales in 2023, totaling 9,333,627 units. Hybrids followed at 10.4%, with 1,243,119 units sold, while diesel vehicles made up 2.8%, or 337,131 registrations. Electric vehicles saw impressive growth, reaching 8.5% of the market share with 1,012,251 units sold. Altogether, registrations across all fuel types reached 11,926,128 units.

Top 10 Hybrid Models Registered in the US in 2023, Total
Model Units % Contribution
HONDA CR-V 194,230 13.6%
TOYOTA RAV4 183,394 12.8%
HONDA ACCORD 94,307 6.6%
JEEP WRANGLER 65,760 4.6%
TOYOTA SIENNA 65,726 4.6%
FORD MAVERICK 51,199 3.6%
TOYOTA HIGHLANDER 49,637 3.5%
FORD F SERIES 47,242 3.3%
TOYOTA COROLLA 46,805 3.3%
JEEP GRAND CHEROKEE 43,073 3.0%
Top 10 Hybrid Models Registered in the US in 2023 (Retail – Excludes Fleet)
Model Vehicle Count Percent Contribution
HONDA CR-V 189,369 15.2%
TOYOTA RAV4 167,399 13.5%
HONDA ACCORD 90,118 7.3%
JEEP WRANGLER 51,750 4.2%
TOYOTA SIENNA 46,107 3.7%
TOYOTA HIGHLANDER 44,506 3.6%
FORD MAVERICK 43,710 3.5%
TOYOTA COROLLA 41,947 3.4%
KIA SPORTAGE 37,542 3.0%
HYUNDAI TUCSON 35,651 2.9%
TOP 10 EV Models Registered in the US in 2023 (Total)
Model Units % Contribution
TESLA MODEL Y 384,593 33.5%
TESLA MODEL 3 212,034 18.5%
CHEVROLET BOLT 62,775 5.5%
FORD MUSTANG MACH-E 38,660 3.4%
VOLKSWAGEN ID4 36,961 3.2%
HYUNDAI IONIQ 5 31,286 2.7%
TESLA MODEL X 28,714 2.5%
RIVIAN R1S 25,417 2.2%
FORD F SERIES 24,674 2.1%
KIA EV6 18,243 1.6%
TOP 10 EV Models Registered in the US in 2023 (Retail – Excludes Fleet)
Model Units % Contribution
TESLA MODEL Y 375,140 37.1%
TESLA MODEL 3 199,183 19.7%
CHEVROLET BOLT 40,729 4.0%
VOLKSWAGEN ID4 34,858 3.4%
FORD MUSTANG MACH-E 29,160 2.9%
HYUNDAI IONIQ 5 26,979 2.7%
TESLA MODEL X 26,473 2.6%
RIVIAN R1S 23,841 2.4%
FORD F SERIES 16,394 1.6%
TESLA MODEL S 15,111 1.5%
Ten States with Highest EV Retail Market Share in 2023
State EV New
Registrations
Total New Light Vehicle
Retail Registrations
EV Share of
Industry in State*
CALIFORNIA 354,419 1,501,184 23.6%
WASHINGTON 40,243 235,857 17.1%
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 2,355 14,007 16.8%
HAWAII 5,986 45,075 13.3%
COLORADO 25,848 195,836 13.2%
OREGON 16,347 125,119 13.1%
NEVADA 13,577 108,469 12.5%
NEW JERSEY 48,226 428,389 11.3%
MARYLAND 21,321 212,894 10.0%
ARIZONA 25,043 254,046 9.9%
       
US 1,012,251 11,926,128 8.5%
*EV share of industry in each state is X%.

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